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Taking VRX' average EBITDA/cash conversion, it is safe to assume that the divested businesses were generating something to the tune of $120-125 million of cash flows. Selling these businesses would mean that VRX would not have the benefit of having those cash flows contributions in the future. However, by paying down $2,120 million of bank loans (margin assumed at 425 bps), the company saves roughly $100 million in interest payments. Moreover, there will be some SG&A and CAPEX savings due to these businesses no longer being part of the group as well as FTE reductions. I have assumed these to be higher than $20 million per annum in my model. Hence, VRX scored a big victory by having almost no cash outflow effect from the above-mentioned transactions, but getting cash proceeds in excess of $2.1bn to retire some of the bank loans and appease the lenders. Below I have shown how the cash flow profile could look for the full year 2016 and on a quarterly basis over the next two years. Table 1: EBITDA to cash flow conversion 2016 - 2018 Click to enlarge Source: own estimates for Q4 2016 and beyond What is clear now is that VRX would not encounter any difficulties with the debt payments until February 2019 (effectively more than 2 years from now). This should give enough time for the new management team not so much to steer the company on a growth trajectory, as repairing the Dermatology division might take longer than 2018, but to have less pressure when selling additional assets. There is a strong chance that the company may sell even other small assets in order to meet the February 2019 debt payment and clear the way up to 2020.

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